Thursday, July 31, 2008

GBP/USD 31 July 2008


Set up the trade after 4.35 pm, buy filled, but at 8.30 pm. Was supposed to cancel unopened trades at 7.50pm according to the system, but I didn't because I was away. Need to study the charts if 7.50 pm is too early to quit trade, since my 50 pips were made at 8.30 pm.

Starting account balance: $3781.40
Today account balance: $3836.40
Total: +55 pips
Target achieved for the week.

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

30 July 2008 GBP/USD


Since Tuesday's trade was a break even trade, I'll consider this trade the 1st attempt. Going for 1 minilot.


Update: Buy trade filled, came back to hit stop loss. 25 pips loss.

Account: $3756.41

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

GBP/USD 29 July 2008


GBP/USD set up to enter long at 1.9970, or short at 1.9917. Target 50 pips, stop loss 25 pips.
Cancel trades if unopened at 7.50 pm (GMT+8)

Update: Broke even at 33 pips, came back to hit stop right on the dot, before moving on to hit initial target. 1 pip gain.

Account: $3781.41

Monday, July 28, 2008

Loss avoided

It's a good thing I made it a rule to cancel all unopened trades after 7.50 pm, otherwise I would have lost yesterday's trade. At 7.50 pm I closed both the trades I set up. In case of break of the lower channel, I've set the entry, stoploss and target. Same goes for long.

The break finally happens at about 9.15 pm, but it dips about 36 pips before heading back up to hit the target. It's a rule for me not to re-enter after I'm stopped out the first day. It makes things too stressful for me.

Never think of pips you didn't get to make, think about the pips you saved. Defensive trading is crucial to survive in forex, that is trying to keep your capital.

Let's see what's in store for us later today at 4.35 pm. (GMT+8)
I have set up my trades for the day. Enter long GBP/USD if reaches 1.9915, enter short if reaches 1.9836. Both stop loss 25 pips, target 50 pips. Breakeven at 35 pips. Cancel trades if not opened after 7.50 pm. (GMT+8).

1 mini-lot, so I stand to make $50 today, or lose $25 dollars.

Account balance: $3780.41

Saturday, July 26, 2008

Back Online

I've taken a long break to refine my strategy. The strategy I use is still the same with some fine-tuning, what I've worked on lately is the Money Management. I've been trading the idea on demo for a couple of months, of course have studied the charts for more than a years worth.

It's been playing out well week after week on the demo account. Now I've ready to go back on live, have just replenished the account with $3700. Although might be deemed little and unsafe by some, but that's about as large as I can go as a beginner. That's why I have to be extremely careful and disciplined, and to stick to my plan no matter what. I've learned well from my first try on the live account and I believe I've picked up very valuable lessons which makes me more confident this time around.

Now briefly about my strategy. I'm using a sort of Asian breakout method. I'll check GBP/USD at exactly 4:35 pm (it's GMT+8 here, so it's 8.30 am London time). I do not check it a minute earlier because I've realised I sometimes get burnt when I'm too impatient. Takes willpower not to open the charts because you might know there might be good action after 2 pm but very often there might be spikes or reversals after 4.35 pm.

What's my target? 50 pips. Each week. Nothing more. With cable, 50 pips is very doable. I start checking on Monday, if I achieve my target, I stop trading. Many a times it is achieve on the first try, the trade is open maybe around 5, by 5.30 pm or 6 pm 50 pips is achieved. Then I take the rest of the week off. There were times I tried to go back in during the week, more often than not, I lose what I've just made on Monday.

If I fail the first time, I try again on Tuesday. If there's no breakout of the channel (8 am - 4.30 pm) I do not trade. I'm likely to meet my target either on Monday, Tuesday, or Wednesday.

But of course, everyone needs to be prepared for a bad week. I start with 1% of my account on the first trade. My money management is semi-Martingale, although I'm aware of how a lot of people are against Martingaling. I call it semi-Martingale because I don't double up when I lose, but add the mini-lots just enough to recover the loss and make the 50 pips. Because my stop loss is 25 pips, the general rule is trade 1.5 times bigger than the previous trade.

The way to recover my loss is to either increase my target size, or my lot size. I figure it's easier to achieve 50 pips, than to achieve 75 pips. Therefore I'm more comfortable to use this semi-Martingale method knowing that I need to achieve the same 50 pips, not 75 pips, and then 100 pips and so on if my trades keep going the wrong way.


Oh well, just walk with me on this journey. Along the way I'll post more details on my money management, and how I manage my risk. Here goes.